NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS POR
Points 122.0 102.0
Total Points   224.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.2 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 45.1 35.3
Points From Free Throws 17.7 13.1
Shooting BOS POR
Field Goals Made 44.7 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 95.0
Field Goal % 50.8% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 60.0
2 Point Shooting % 62.3% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 40.3 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 17.7 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 16.5
Free Throw % 79.2% 79.4%
Ball Control BOS POR
Rebounds 53.3 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 41.3 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 15.8
Turnovers 11.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 7.7 3.3
Steals 7.3 5.5
Fouls 13.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS POR
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 104.0
% of Possessions with BOS POR
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 29.4%
Player Fouled 16.4% 13.4%
Turnover 11.0% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS POR
Shot Blocked 3.6% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 27.7%