NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS GS
Points 120.1 112.0
Total Points   232.1
Points From 2-Pointers 51.9 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 52.4 45.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 12.5
Shooting BOS GS
Field Goals Made 43.4 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 91.9 95.8
Field Goal % 47.2% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 46.8 55.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 17.5 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 45.1 40.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.8 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 16.1
Free Throw % 79.1% 77.7%
Ball Control BOS GS
Rebounds 52.4 52.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.8 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 14.9
Turnovers 10.1 11.3
Blocked Shots 6.2 3.7
Steals 6.3 5.1
Fouls 13.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS GS
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 104.8
% of Possessions with BOS GS
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 39.1% 34.3%
Player Fouled 15.3% 13.3%
Turnover 10.0% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS GS
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.2%