NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS WAS
Points 127.4 107.3
Total Points   234.6
Points From 2-Pointers 64.3 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 45.3 38.3
Points From Free Throws 17.7 12.6
Shooting BOS WAS
Field Goals Made 47.3 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 92.8 95.3
Field Goal % 50.9% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 57.5
2 Point Shooting % 60.8% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 15.1 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 40.0 37.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 17.7 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 16.4
Free Throw % 79.1% 76.8%
Ball Control BOS WAS
Rebounds 57.4 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 44.2 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.1
Turnovers 10.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 7.8 3.7
Steals 6.7 5.5
Fouls 14.0 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS WAS
Total Possessions 103.7
Effective Scoring Chances 106.2 103.5
% of Possessions with BOS WAS
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 32.0%
Player Fouled 15.8% 13.5%
Turnover 10.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS WAS
Shot Blocked 4.0% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 20.1%