NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MIL
Points 115.6 115.9
Total Points   231.5
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 42.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 18.0
Shooting LAC MIL
Field Goals Made 42.3 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 87.6
Field Goal % 47.8% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.0 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 18.7 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 23.2
Free Throw % 83.5% 77.3%
Ball Control LAC MIL
Rebounds 48.1 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.0
Turnovers 10.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.3
Steals 6.6 6.0
Fouls 17.2 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MIL
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 101.2
% of Possessions with LAC MIL
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 33.7%
Player Fouled 17.1% 17.0%
Turnover 10.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MIL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 22.7%