NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC CLE
Points 112.2 112.2
Total Points   224.5
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 43.2
Points From Free Throws 18.1 15.1
Shooting LAC CLE
Field Goals Made 40.9 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 87.5
Field Goal % 48.4% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.9 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 18.1 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 19.9
Free Throw % 82.9% 75.9%
Ball Control LAC CLE
Rebounds 46.7 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.9
Turnovers 11.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.1
Steals 7.2 6.3
Fouls 16.6 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC CLE
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 97.3 99.1
% of Possessions with LAC CLE
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 34.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.8%
Turnover 11.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC CLE
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.5%