NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MEM
Points 116.6 106.3
Total Points   223.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 48.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 41.8
Points From Free Throws 18.9 16.2
Shooting LAC MEM
Field Goals Made 42.1 38.1
Field Goals Attempted 85.2 87.8
Field Goal % 49.5% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 24.2
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 38.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 18.9 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 21.3
Free Throw % 82.9% 75.8%
Ball Control LAC MEM
Rebounds 50.2 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.8
Turnovers 13.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.5
Steals 7.6 7.1
Fouls 17.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MEM
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.3 100.0
% of Possessions with LAC MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 33.5%
Player Fouled 17.6% 17.0%
Turnover 13.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MEM
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 24.7%