NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MEM
Points 116.3 105.6
Total Points   221.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.8 49.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 39.7
Points From Free Throws 19.2 16.3
Shooting LAC MEM
Field Goals Made 42.0 38.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.2 88.8
Field Goal % 49.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 24.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 50.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 19.2 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 21.3
Free Throw % 83.5% 76.6%
Ball Control LAC MEM
Rebounds 50.7 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 33.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 13.6
Turnovers 13.4 12.9
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.7
Steals 7.5 7.5
Fouls 16.7 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MEM
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 101.2
% of Possessions with LAC MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.1% 16.6%
Turnover 13.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MEM
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 25.8%