NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC ATL
Points 123.4 115.5
Total Points   238.9
Points From 2-Pointers 63.0 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 41.2 41.2
Points From Free Throws 19.2 18.2
Shooting LAC ATL
Field Goals Made 45.2 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 91.3
Field Goal % 52.0% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.0 37.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.4% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 19.2 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 23.3
Free Throw % 83.5% 78.3%
Ball Control LAC ATL
Rebounds 48.3 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 14.3
Turnovers 12.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.2
Steals 7.0 6.6
Fouls 17.0 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC ATL
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 104.9
% of Possessions with LAC ATL
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 31.8%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.6%
Turnover 12.0% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC ATL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 27.6%