NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC ATL
Points 124.4 118.0
Total Points   242.4
Points From 2-Pointers 62.2 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 43.1 43.1
Points From Free Throws 19.1 18.4
Shooting LAC ATL
Field Goals Made 45.5 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 92.2
Field Goal % 52.4% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 31.1 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.5% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 37.8
3 Point Shooting % 41.7% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 19.1 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 23.1
Free Throw % 82.9% 79.7%
Ball Control LAC ATL
Rebounds 47.4 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 15.0
Turnovers 12.2 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.2
Steals 6.8 6.6
Fouls 16.9 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC ATL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 105.7
% of Possessions with LAC ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 31.8%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.6%
Turnover 12.0% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC ATL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 29.1%