NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MIA
Points 111.0 108.5
Total Points   219.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.1 52.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 38.2
Points From Free Throws 16.9 17.5
Shooting LAC MIA
Field Goals Made 40.8 39.1
Field Goals Attempted 84.0 86.5
Field Goal % 48.5% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.0 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 16.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 21.5
Free Throw % 83.5% 81.5%
Ball Control LAC MIA
Rebounds 47.9 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.1
Turnovers 12.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.0
Steals 6.0 6.9
Fouls 16.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MIA
Total Possessions 98.6
Effective Scoring Chances 96.2 98.9
% of Possessions with LAC MIA
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 31.4%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.1%
Turnover 12.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MIA
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 22.6%