NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MIA
Points 110.6 108.5
Total Points   219.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 52.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 38.5
Points From Free Throws 16.8 17.8
Shooting LAC MIA
Field Goals Made 40.5 38.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 85.7
Field Goal % 48.3% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 26.1
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 16.8 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 21.8
Free Throw % 83.5% 81.9%
Ball Control LAC MIA
Rebounds 47.5 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.8
Turnovers 12.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.1
Steals 6.1 6.9
Fouls 16.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MIA
Total Possessions 98.4
Effective Scoring Chances 96.0 98.3
% of Possessions with LAC MIA
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 31.4%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.1%
Turnover 12.4% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MIA
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 22.3%