NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MIA
Points 110.7 108.4
Total Points   219.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.5 52.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 38.0
Points From Free Throws 16.7 17.8
Shooting LAC MIA
Field Goals Made 40.6 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 84.1 86.0
Field Goal % 48.3% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 48.8 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.7 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 21.8
Free Throw % 83.5% 82.0%
Ball Control LAC MIA
Rebounds 47.7 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.0
Turnovers 12.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.1
Steals 6.0 6.9
Fouls 16.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MIA
Total Possessions 98.2
Effective Scoring Chances 96.1 98.6
% of Possessions with LAC MIA
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 31.3%
Player Fouled 16.0% 17.1%
Turnover 12.2% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MIA
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 22.5%