NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC CHA
Points 118.0 105.8
Total Points   223.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.3 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 37.4
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.4
Shooting LAC CHA
Field Goals Made 43.6 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 86.9
Field Goal % 51.0% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.1% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 18.3
Free Throw % 83.5% 78.9%
Ball Control LAC CHA
Rebounds 49.9 42.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.3
Turnovers 12.2 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.0
Steals 6.5 6.2
Fouls 15.7 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC CHA
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 97.5
% of Possessions with LAC CHA
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 31.7%
Player Fouled 16.1% 15.9%
Turnover 12.3% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC CHA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 20.9%