NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC SAC
Points 114.8 115.1
Total Points   229.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 43.1
Points From Free Throws 20.3 15.4
Shooting LAC SAC
Field Goals Made 40.9 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.0 90.8
Field Goal % 48.7% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 39.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 20.3 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 20.6
Free Throw % 83.5% 74.7%
Ball Control LAC SAC
Rebounds 47.3 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 13.1
Turnovers 12.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.1
Steals 6.7 7.0
Fouls 16.3 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC SAC
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.2 103.1
% of Possessions with LAC SAC
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 33.9%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.2%
Turnover 12.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC SAC
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 25.8%