NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC SAC
Points 117.5 116.3
Total Points   233.8
Points From 2-Pointers 57.3 58.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 42.8
Points From Free Throws 20.0 15.3
Shooting LAC SAC
Field Goals Made 42.1 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 90.4
Field Goal % 49.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 41.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 20.0 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 20.5
Free Throw % 82.9% 74.8%
Ball Control LAC SAC
Rebounds 46.5 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 12.7
Turnovers 12.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.0
Steals 6.9 6.7
Fouls 16.5 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC SAC
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 102.6
% of Possessions with LAC SAC
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 33.2%
Player Fouled 18.4% 16.3%
Turnover 12.1% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC SAC
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 25.5%