NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC NY
Points 112.6 112.2
Total Points   224.8
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.1 40.2
Points From Free Throws 17.7 17.3
Shooting LAC NY
Field Goals Made 41.3 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 89.2
Field Goal % 48.8% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 51.8 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 17.7 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 22.2
Free Throw % 83.5% 78.1%
Ball Control LAC NY
Rebounds 46.2 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 33.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 15.6
Turnovers 11.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.2
Steals 6.0 6.8
Fouls 16.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC NY
Total Possessions 97.8
Effective Scoring Chances 97.1 102.4
% of Possessions with LAC NY
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 31.4%
Player Fouled 16.5% 16.9%
Turnover 12.1% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC NY
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 30.8%