NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC LAL
Points 117.7 116.0
Total Points   233.8
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 41.4 36.0
Points From Free Throws 15.7 18.2
Shooting LAC LAL
Field Goals Made 44.1 42.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 86.5
Field Goal % 48.4% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.9 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.3 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 15.7 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 23.5
Free Throw % 83.5% 77.6%
Ball Control LAC LAL
Rebounds 48.1 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.6
Turnovers 11.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.6
Steals 7.5 6.4
Fouls 17.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC LAL
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 100.0
% of Possessions with LAC LAL
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 27.8%
Player Fouled 13.6% 17.3%
Turnover 11.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC LAL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 20.7%