NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC LAL
Points 117.0 115.3
Total Points   232.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.1 61.0
Points From 3-Pointers 41.3 35.9
Points From Free Throws 15.6 18.4
Shooting LAC LAL
Field Goals Made 43.8 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 85.7
Field Goal % 48.0% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 30.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.5 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 15.6 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 23.6
Free Throw % 83.5% 77.8%
Ball Control LAC LAL
Rebounds 48.1 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 9.4
Turnovers 11.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.7
Steals 7.5 6.4
Fouls 17.7 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC LAL
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 99.3
% of Possessions with LAC LAL
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 27.9%
Player Fouled 13.8% 17.4%
Turnover 11.3% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC LAL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 20.4%