NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC DAL
Points 114.4 114.6
Total Points   228.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 42.7
Points From Free Throws 19.0 17.2
Shooting LAC DAL
Field Goals Made 41.3 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 88.2
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 19.0 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 22.8
Free Throw % 83.5% 75.4%
Ball Control LAC DAL
Rebounds 49.8 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.3
Turnovers 11.8 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.8
Steals 6.8 6.1
Fouls 18.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC DAL
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 101.6
% of Possessions with LAC DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 34.0%
Player Fouled 16.5% 17.9%
Turnover 11.7% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC DAL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 22.9%