NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC DEN
Points 111.8 114.5
Total Points   226.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 63.9
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 35.4
Points From Free Throws 19.7 15.2
Shooting LAC DEN
Field Goals Made 40.6 43.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 89.5
Field Goal % 46.9% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 31.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.8 57.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 19.7 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 19.9
Free Throw % 83.5% 76.4%
Ball Control LAC DEN
Rebounds 47.0 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 12.7
Turnovers 10.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.2
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 15.9 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC DEN
Total Possessions 99.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 101.2
% of Possessions with LAC DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 28.0%
Player Fouled 16.5% 16.1%
Turnover 10.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC DEN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 26.5%