NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC NO
Points 113.0 114.5
Total Points   227.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.1 59.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.7 37.8
Points From Free Throws 18.2 17.0
Shooting LAC NO
Field Goals Made 40.6 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.6 87.7
Field Goal % 48.0% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.9 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 18.2 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 22.1
Free Throw % 82.9% 76.9%
Ball Control LAC NO
Rebounds 45.8 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.3
Turnovers 12.4 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.3
Steals 6.1 7.1
Fouls 16.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC NO
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 100.5
% of Possessions with LAC NO
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 28.9%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.3%
Turnover 12.5% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC NO
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 25.8%