NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC NO
Points 112.5 112.9
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 54.8 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 39.9 36.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 17.2
Shooting LAC NO
Field Goals Made 40.7 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 87.7
Field Goal % 48.1% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 48.4 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 33.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 17.8 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 22.2
Free Throw % 83.5% 77.4%
Ball Control LAC NO
Rebounds 46.5 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.2
Turnovers 12.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.3
Steals 6.0 7.4
Fouls 16.2 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC NO
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 97.2 100.6
% of Possessions with LAC NO
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.3%
Turnover 12.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC NO
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 25.3%