NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC DET
Points 120.3 108.7
Total Points   229.0
Points From 2-Pointers 64.1 57.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 34.1
Points From Free Throws 20.8 17.3
Shooting LAC DET
Field Goals Made 43.8 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 88.1
Field Goal % 51.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 32.1 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 55.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 20.8 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 22.1
Free Throw % 83.5% 78.3%
Ball Control LAC DET
Rebounds 48.0 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.2
Turnovers 11.3 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.3
Steals 8.1 6.1
Fouls 15.6 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC DET
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 100.8
% of Possessions with LAC DET
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 28.1%
Player Fouled 18.0% 15.4%
Turnover 11.1% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC DET
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 24.4%