NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC HOU
Points 120.2 105.4
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 49.8
Points From 3-Pointers 46.6 39.6
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.0
Shooting LAC HOU
Field Goals Made 43.3 38.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.0 85.6
Field Goal % 50.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 24.9
2 Pointers Attempted 49.7 47.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 15.5 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 42.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 21.6
Free Throw % 84.0% 74.0%
Ball Control LAC HOU
Rebounds 50.8 43.7
Rebounds - Defensive 40.5 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.8
Turnovers 12.6 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.9
Steals 7.4 6.4
Fouls 17.7 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC HOU
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 98.1
% of Possessions with LAC HOU
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 34.1%
Player Fouled 17.3% 17.5%
Turnover 12.5% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC HOU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 19.4%