NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC PHO
Points 113.3 114.7
Total Points   228.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 58.6
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 38.0
Points From Free Throws 17.9 18.1
Shooting LAC PHO
Field Goals Made 41.2 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 86.4
Field Goal % 46.4% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 53.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 17.9 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 22.4
Free Throw % 83.5% 80.7%
Ball Control LAC PHO
Rebounds 46.3 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 12.1
Turnovers 11.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.2
Steals 7.7 6.6
Fouls 17.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC PHO
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 99.8
% of Possessions with LAC PHO
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 29.2%
Player Fouled 16.0% 17.1%
Turnover 11.1% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC PHO
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 25.9%