NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC OKC
Points 112.5 118.0
Total Points   230.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.1 60.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 39.6
Points From Free Throws 19.7 17.7
Shooting LAC OKC
Field Goals Made 39.8 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 88.6
Field Goal % 45.8% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 19.7 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 21.5
Free Throw % 83.5% 82.2%
Ball Control LAC OKC
Rebounds 49.0 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.4
Turnovers 13.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 6.1
Steals 6.6 7.4
Fouls 17.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC OKC
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 100.9
% of Possessions with LAC OKC
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 30.1%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.9%
Turnover 13.4% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC OKC
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 22.2%