NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC POR
Points 118.9 106.6
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 64.0 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 34.5
Points From Free Throws 20.9 16.1
Shooting LAC POR
Field Goals Made 43.3 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 90.7
Field Goal % 51.7% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.0 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 57.3
2 Point Shooting % 60.9% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 20.9 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 20.2
Free Throw % 83.5% 79.4%
Ball Control LAC POR
Rebounds 48.4 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 15.3
Turnovers 12.4 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.0
Steals 8.0 6.6
Fouls 15.6 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC POR
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 102.7
% of Possessions with LAC POR
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.2% 15.5%
Turnover 12.4% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC POR
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 29.1%