NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC POR
Points 119.7 108.6
Total Points   228.3
Points From 2-Pointers 63.4 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 36.4
Points From Free Throws 20.8 16.4
Shooting LAC POR
Field Goals Made 43.5 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 83.7 89.7
Field Goal % 52.0% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.2 56.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.7% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 20.8 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 20.5
Free Throw % 82.9% 79.7%
Ball Control LAC POR
Rebounds 47.6 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 14.7
Turnovers 12.6 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.1
Steals 8.1 6.7
Fouls 15.8 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC POR
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 101.8
% of Possessions with LAC POR
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 15.8%
Turnover 12.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC POR
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 28.7%