NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC WAS
Points 123.5 111.8
Total Points   235.3
Points From 2-Pointers 68.0 58.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.5 37.4
Points From Free Throws 21.0 15.6
Shooting LAC WAS
Field Goals Made 45.5 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 90.6
Field Goal % 51.3% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 34.0 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.6 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 21.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 20.4
Free Throw % 83.5% 76.8%
Ball Control LAC WAS
Rebounds 52.4 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.6
Turnovers 12.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.6
Steals 7.4 6.6
Fouls 16.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC WAS
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 101.9
% of Possessions with LAC WAS
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 30.9%
Player Fouled 17.5% 15.6%
Turnover 11.6% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC WAS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 20.9%