NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM MIL
Points 106.5 117.8
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 51.2 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 44.2
Points From Free Throws 16.7 18.9
Shooting MEM MIL
Field Goals Made 38.5 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 85.8
Field Goal % 42.7% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.6 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 47.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 37.7 38.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 16.7 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 24.2
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.7%
Ball Control MEM MIL
Rebounds 48.0 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 41.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 10.5
Turnovers 12.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.9
Steals 7.2 6.7
Fouls 17.8 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM MIL
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 99.8
% of Possessions with MEM MIL
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 33.5%
Player Fouled 17.0% 17.4%
Turnover 11.9% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM MIL
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 22.8%