NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM CHI
Points 107.2 114.3
Total Points   221.5
Points From 2-Pointers 45.9 60.5
Points From 3-Pointers 43.8 36.5
Points From Free Throws 17.4 17.3
Shooting MEM CHI
Field Goals Made 37.6 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 88.7
Field Goal % 43.6% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.0 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 44.9 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 41.3 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 17.4 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 21.8
Free Throw % 76.6% 79.3%
Ball Control MEM CHI
Rebounds 48.1 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 12.5
Turnovers 14.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.7 6.2
Steals 6.9 7.8
Fouls 17.1 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM CHI
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 101.3
% of Possessions with MEM CHI
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 35.7% 28.6%
Player Fouled 17.2% 16.9%
Turnover 13.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM CHI
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 26.0%