NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM CLE
Points 103.8 112.9
Total Points   216.8
Points From 2-Pointers 49.0 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.7 42.5
Points From Free Throws 16.1 16.4
Shooting MEM CLE
Field Goals Made 37.4 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.5 85.5
Field Goal % 43.2% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 24.5 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 50.2 47.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 16.1 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 21.6
Free Throw % 76.6% 76.0%
Ball Control MEM CLE
Rebounds 47.5 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.4
Turnovers 13.8 13.9
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.5
Steals 8.0 7.4
Fouls 17.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM CLE
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.8 97.9
% of Possessions with MEM CLE
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 33.0%
Player Fouled 15.8% 17.4%
Turnover 13.7% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM CLE
Shot Blocked 6.6% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 24.3%