NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM BOS
Points 101.1 120.5
Total Points   221.6
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 52.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.3 51.9
Points From Free Throws 13.3 16.2
Shooting MEM BOS
Field Goals Made 37.1 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 92.9 88.7
Field Goal % 39.9% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 45.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 17.3
3 Pointers Attempted 40.3 43.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 20.5
Free Throw % 76.6% 79.1%
Ball Control MEM BOS
Rebounds 48.9 55.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 42.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 12.2
Turnovers 12.2 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.7 8.1
Steals 6.2 6.9
Fouls 15.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM BOS
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 100.7
% of Possessions with MEM BOS
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 37.7%
Player Fouled 14.4% 15.6%
Turnover 12.2% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM BOS
Shot Blocked 9.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 25.9%