NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM LAC
Points 105.7 116.5
Total Points   222.2
Points From 2-Pointers 49.6 57.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 39.8
Points From Free Throws 16.5 19.1
Shooting MEM LAC
Field Goals Made 38.0 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 85.2
Field Goal % 42.9% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 24.8 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.0 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 16.5 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 22.9
Free Throw % 76.6% 83.5%
Ball Control MEM LAC
Rebounds 46.8 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.2 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 11.4
Turnovers 12.8 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 6.0
Steals 7.5 7.5
Fouls 17.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM LAC
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 98.4
% of Possessions with MEM LAC
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 29.7%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.1%
Turnover 12.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM LAC
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 25.6%