NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM LAC
Points 105.5 116.1
Total Points   221.7
Points From 2-Pointers 49.3 57.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 39.5
Points From Free Throws 16.6 19.2
Shooting MEM LAC
Field Goals Made 37.9 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 85.3
Field Goal % 42.8% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 38.0 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 23.0
Free Throw % 76.6% 83.5%
Ball Control MEM LAC
Rebounds 47.0 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 11.5
Turnovers 12.9 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.8 6.0
Steals 7.5 7.5
Fouls 17.2 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM LAC
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 98.5
% of Possessions with MEM LAC
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 29.7%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.2%
Turnover 12.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM LAC
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 25.6%