NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM CHA
Points 108.5 107.4
Total Points   215.9
Points From 2-Pointers 51.4 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.4 38.7
Points From Free Throws 15.7 15.0
Shooting MEM CHA
Field Goals Made 39.5 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 85.2
Field Goal % 45.4% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 49.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 38.9 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 15.7 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.0
Free Throw % 76.6% 78.9%
Ball Control MEM CHA
Rebounds 50.0 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 10.0
Turnovers 13.9 14.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.4
Steals 7.3 6.9
Fouls 16.3 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM CHA
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 96.0
% of Possessions with MEM CHA
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.3%
Turnover 13.9% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM CHA
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 21.3%