NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM SAC
Points 107.9 116.8
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 48.5 58.0
Points From 3-Pointers 41.4 42.6
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.2
Shooting MEM SAC
Field Goals Made 38.1 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 89.2
Field Goal % 44.6% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 24.3 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 48.3 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 37.0 38.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 21.6
Free Throw % 75.8% 74.8%
Ball Control MEM SAC
Rebounds 46.8 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.3
Turnovers 14.4 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.4
Steals 7.4 7.7
Fouls 17.3 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM SAC
Total Possessions 102.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 101.9
% of Possessions with MEM SAC
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 32.7%
Player Fouled 18.2% 16.8%
Turnover 14.0% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM SAC
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 25.3%