NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM DAL
Points 105.9 117.0
Total Points   222.9
Points From 2-Pointers 49.1 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 39.8 44.3
Points From Free Throws 17.0 17.8
Shooting MEM DAL
Field Goals Made 37.8 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 86.8
Field Goal % 42.4% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 24.6 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 47.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 37.6 39.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 17.0 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 23.6
Free Throw % 76.6% 75.4%
Ball Control MEM DAL
Rebounds 49.6 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 40.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.0
Turnovers 13.6 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 6.5
Steals 7.5 6.8
Fouls 18.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM DAL
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 100.6
% of Possessions with MEM DAL
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 33.9%
Player Fouled 16.4% 18.4%
Turnover 13.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM DAL
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.2%