NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM DAL
Points 106.3 117.5
Total Points   223.8
Points From 2-Pointers 49.6 55.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 44.5
Points From Free Throws 17.0 17.5
Shooting MEM DAL
Field Goals Made 38.0 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 87.3
Field Goal % 42.6% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 24.8 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 47.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 37.7 39.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 23.1
Free Throw % 76.6% 75.6%
Ball Control MEM DAL
Rebounds 49.6 51.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 40.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.0
Turnovers 13.7 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 6.3
Steals 7.5 6.7
Fouls 18.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM DAL
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 100.8
% of Possessions with MEM DAL
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 34.1%
Player Fouled 16.3% 18.3%
Turnover 13.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM DAL
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.2%