NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM NO
Points 103.4 114.6
Total Points   218.0
Points From 2-Pointers 46.3 58.8
Points From 3-Pointers 41.1 37.9
Points From Free Throws 16.0 17.9
Shooting MEM NO
Field Goals Made 36.8 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 85.8
Field Goal % 42.9% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.2 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 45.3 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 40.6 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 16.0 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 23.1
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.6%
Ball Control MEM NO
Rebounds 46.3 51.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.8
Turnovers 14.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.7
Steals 6.7 8.1
Fouls 16.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM NO
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 98.1 99.0
% of Possessions with MEM NO
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 28.9%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.7%
Turnover 14.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM NO
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 25.6%