NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM DET
Points 111.5 111.0
Total Points   222.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.1 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.9 35.3
Points From Free Throws 19.5 18.3
Shooting MEM DET
Field Goals Made 39.7 40.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 86.9
Field Goal % 46.1% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 19.5 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 23.1
Free Throw % 75.8% 79.1%
Ball Control MEM DET
Rebounds 46.5 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.4
Turnovers 12.7 15.3
Blocked Shots 7.0 5.6
Steals 8.8 6.6
Fouls 16.6 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM DET
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 100.1
% of Possessions with MEM DET
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 27.6%
Player Fouled 19.1% 16.1%
Turnover 12.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM DET
Shot Blocked 6.7% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 25.6%