NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM TOR
Points 113.0 112.2
Total Points   225.3
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 59.1
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 35.8
Points From Free Throws 15.8 17.3
Shooting MEM TOR
Field Goals Made 41.7 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 88.3
Field Goal % 46.1% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 39.0 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 15.8 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 22.5
Free Throw % 76.6% 76.6%
Ball Control MEM TOR
Rebounds 50.7 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 12.3
Turnovers 14.2 14.2
Blocked Shots 7.4 5.7
Steals 7.4 7.7
Fouls 16.7 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM TOR
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 100.9
% of Possessions with MEM TOR
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 28.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.3%
Turnover 13.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM TOR
Shot Blocked 6.6% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 25.2%