NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM MIN
Points 99.0 113.3
Total Points   212.3
Points From 2-Pointers 45.7 55.0
Points From 3-Pointers 35.6 39.8
Points From Free Throws 17.6 18.5
Shooting MEM MIN
Field Goals Made 34.8 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 83.1
Field Goal % 40.4% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 49.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 17.6 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 23.9
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.2%
Ball Control MEM MIN
Rebounds 46.9 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.1 40.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.9
Turnovers 14.5 14.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 7.5
Steals 7.8 7.9
Fouls 18.8 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM MIN
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 97.1
% of Possessions with MEM MIN
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 29.5%
Player Fouled 17.1% 18.6%
Turnover 14.4% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM MIN
Shot Blocked 9.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 24.2%