NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM POR
Points 109.4 108.7
Total Points   218.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.0 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 36.1
Points From Free Throws 18.8 17.3
Shooting MEM POR
Field Goals Made 39.2 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 88.2
Field Goal % 46.2% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 33.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 18.8 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 21.7
Free Throw % 75.8% 79.7%
Ball Control MEM POR
Rebounds 48.4 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 14.2
Turnovers 14.8 15.3
Blocked Shots 7.3 5.5
Steals 8.7 7.7
Fouls 16.5 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM POR
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 100.8
% of Possessions with MEM POR
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 27.8%
Player Fouled 18.7% 16.2%
Turnover 14.5% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM POR
Shot Blocked 6.4% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 28.4%