NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM POR
Points 109.6 107.9
Total Points   217.5
Points From 2-Pointers 55.5 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 35.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 17.0
Shooting MEM POR
Field Goals Made 39.5 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 88.6
Field Goal % 46.2% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.3 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.7 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 21.4
Free Throw % 76.6% 79.4%
Ball Control MEM POR
Rebounds 48.5 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 14.9
Turnovers 14.2 15.2
Blocked Shots 7.4 5.5
Steals 8.8 7.4
Fouls 16.2 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM POR
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 101.0
% of Possessions with MEM POR
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 28.0%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.0%
Turnover 14.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM POR
Shot Blocked 6.4% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 29.5%