NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM GS
Points 107.5 118.1
Total Points   225.7
Points From 2-Pointers 49.0 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 45.8
Points From Free Throws 16.9 16.0
Shooting MEM GS
Field Goals Made 38.4 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 89.7
Field Goal % 42.7% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 24.5 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 50.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 15.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.9 39.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 16.9 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 20.6
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.7%
Ball Control MEM GS
Rebounds 47.8 54.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 40.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 13.8
Turnovers 13.0 14.3
Blocked Shots 5.9 6.1
Steals 7.7 6.8
Fouls 16.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM GS
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 101.8
% of Possessions with MEM GS
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 33.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 15.7%
Turnover 12.7% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM GS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 28.7%