NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL PHI
Points 117.2 119.9
Total Points   237.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.9 61.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.7 38.3
Points From Free Throws 21.6 19.9
Shooting ATL PHI
Field Goals Made 41.3 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 89.7
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.7 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 21.6 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 24.4
Free Throw % 79.7% 81.7%
Ball Control ATL PHI
Rebounds 50.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 15.0 12.5
Turnovers 12.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 6.7
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 16.5 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL PHI
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 103.5
% of Possessions with ATL PHI
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 28.9%
Player Fouled 18.6% 16.2%
Turnover 12.2% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL PHI
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 26.0%