NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL PHI
Points 114.8 120.9
Total Points   235.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.2 61.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.5 39.9
Points From Free Throws 20.2 19.7
Shooting ATL PHI
Field Goals Made 40.9 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 89.4
Field Goal % 45.8% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 30.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 20.2 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 24.1
Free Throw % 78.3% 81.9%
Ball Control ATL PHI
Rebounds 49.9 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 12.1
Turnovers 12.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.2 6.7
Steals 5.7 7.4
Fouls 16.7 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL PHI
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 103.2
% of Possessions with ATL PHI
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 29.6%
Player Fouled 18.3% 16.3%
Turnover 12.6% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL PHI
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 25.6%