NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL PHI
Points 115.0 120.9
Total Points   235.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.1 61.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 40.0
Points From Free Throws 20.3 19.8
Shooting ATL PHI
Field Goals Made 40.9 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 89.3
Field Goal % 45.7% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 30.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 20.3 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 24.2
Free Throw % 78.3% 81.9%
Ball Control ATL PHI
Rebounds 50.1 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 12.1
Turnovers 12.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 6.6
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 16.7 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL PHI
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 103.1
% of Possessions with ATL PHI
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 29.7%
Player Fouled 18.3% 16.3%
Turnover 12.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL PHI
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 25.5%