NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL CHI
Points 117.4 121.4
Total Points   238.8
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 66.1
Points From 3-Pointers 45.6 38.0
Points From Free Throws 19.0 17.4
Shooting ATL CHI
Field Goals Made 41.6 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 90.3
Field Goal % 46.6% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 33.0
2 Pointers Attempted 48.0 57.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 15.2 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 41.1 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 19.0 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 21.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 79.2%
Ball Control ATL CHI
Rebounds 48.1 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 11.8
Turnovers 12.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.2
Steals 6.0 7.2
Fouls 17.1 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL CHI
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 103.2
% of Possessions with ATL CHI
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 28.5%
Player Fouled 17.2% 16.6%
Turnover 12.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL CHI
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 25.2%